Year 2Q and Quantum Safe Computing: Is the Year 2Q now 2029?

Year 2Q is the year that current encryption methods become obsolete as they are broken by the increased mathematical power of Quantum Computers.

NIST estimate Y2Q as 2035 - ish.

NIST, the USA lead body for encryption and internet and data security has published a recommended pathway that requires the current (not Quantum Safe) methods to be updated to the new, Quantum Safe methods by 2035.

That's OK then isn't it?

Not really - IonQ has just estimated that it will have approximately 8,000 logical Qbits (the useful ones) operational on a system by 2029.

It looks like Y2Q could now be 2029 - ish

Given ~ 2,000 logical Qbits are needed to break ECC; 4,000 to break RSA and 6,000 to break AES256 this statement should be getting a lot more press as "at the current rate of progress" which is accelerating - the most common encryption methods will be toast by 2030.

This video explains it well - thanks Konstantinos.

We have solutions.

Blue Mesh and Quantropi have been working hard to create Quantum Safe Solutions to protect small IoT devices, right up to the largest data center firewalls.